Poinsettia Bowl Betting – ATS Pick

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Point Spread: Horned Frogs -10

Colby Cameron has revved up the Bulldog scoring.

TCU won their last seven games to finish 10-2, their 4th-straight season with double-digit wins. Louisiana Tech also won their last seven games after blowing 4th-quarter leads in three early losses. They finished 8-4.

Despite their reputation as a high-powered passing offense, the Frogs make their living on offense on the ground. RBs Waymon James, Matthew Tucker and Ed Wesley combined to rush for 2,157 yards and 22 TDs. The Bulldogs allow an average of 122 yards-per-game on the ground and this will be the key matchup of the game. QB Casey Paschal had a solid season (24-6 TD/INT ratio, 2,715 yards) but faces a defense that is allowing only 15 points-per-game during their winning streak. WR Josh Boyce leads the team with 56 catches for 932 yards and nine scores. Louisiana Tech ranked 3rd in the country with 20 interceptions and Paschal will have to be careful with the ball. WAC Def. POY LB Adrien Cole leads the Bulldogs with 121 tackles (13 for loss) and we be a central figure for a defense looking to stop the potent Frogs offense (41.7 points-per-game, 9th in NCAA).

The Bulldogs offense really took off once QB Colby Cameron was inserted into the starting lineup. He led the team to five-straight wins and had an 11-2 TD/INT ratio. Another late-season contributor was RB Hunter Lee (582 rushing yards last seven games). RB Lennon Creer led the team with 838 yards rushing and nine scores but has been banged up most of the year. All-WAC WR Quinton Patton has had a productive year (74-1,135-10) and will be a focus for the TCU defense. The Horned Frogs led the nation in yardage and points allowed last season and while not as stout this year (32nd in yardage, 30th in points), they remain a top unit.

ATS Pick

This game features two teams on extended winning streaks. TCU is very disappointed to not be playing in a BCS Bowl (even though they deserve it) and that could work against them. Louisiana Tech is averaging 35 points and 445 yards-per-game with Cameron under center and we think they can hang with the Horned Frogs. 10 points is a lot to give to the Bulldogs and we like them to get the cover.
Take the Bulldogs