In Week 5, the number of undefeated teams remaining fell to two as the Arizona Cardinals dropped their game to the St. Louis Rams while Atlanta and Houston survived their road tests. Cleveland is the only remaining winless team in the NFL as New Orleans earned its first win of the season over San Diego. Here’s a look at some of the top picks in Week 6.
St. Louis +3.5 at Miami at 5Dimes
Just a quick glance at the numbers on offensive and defensive production between these two teams show a pretty even matchup. St. Louis is slightly worse on offense averaging 19.2 points per game to Miami’s 20.6, and slightly better on defense allowing 18.8 points per game to Miami’s 20.6. Both teams have stronger defenses than offenses, and we’ll likely see a defensive showdown this Sunday.
Considering how much points figure to be at a premium, getting the hook on the +3.5 is extremely valuable. Looking into the specifics of this matchup, St. Louis upset Arizona by applying a ton of pressure to the quarterback with an outstanding front four. Miami’s Ryan Tannehill, like most rookie quarterbacks, has shown a tendency to make mistakes and turn the ball over when pressured. The Rams should be able to come up with enough plays on defense to either win the game outright or at least keep the loss to a field goal or less.
New England -3.5 at Seattle at Pinnacle
By this point, Seattle’s home prowess is well known, especially as an underdog. This is part of the reason that New England isn’t a bigger favorite on the road this week; Seattle plays very well at home.
With that said, New England plays exceptionally well on the road as well. The Patriots are 14-4 SU and 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 road games. The Patriots have looked sharp on offense all season (with the exception of their shocking home loss to Arizona), averaging 33 points per game, and have scored 30+ points on two strong defenses in Baltimore and Denver.
Seattle’s defense is strong enough to keep New England from running away with it, but the offense has scored more than 16 points just once this season. Asking Tom Brady and the New England Patriots to cover a spread of less than four points is a winning proposition against just about any team, even on the road.
Other lines available this week (all at BET365) include Pittsburgh -5.5 at Tennessee, Indianapolis +3.0 at NY Jets, Oakland +9.5 at Atlanta, Dallas +3.5 at Baltimore, Cincinnati -1 at Cleveland, Detroit +4.5 at Philadelphia, Kansas City +3 at Tampa Bay, Buffalo +4.5 at Arizona, NY Giants +4.5 at San Francisco, Green Bay +3.5 at Houston, and Denver +1 at San Diego.