NFL Football Week 4 Setup

Replacement referees dominated the headlines once again in Week 3, this time making their most obvious error yet in awarding Seattle a win over Green Bay on Monday night when replay clearly showed Green Bay come down with the interception. But terrible referees or not, the show must go on, and here are our top picks for Week 4.

San Francisco 49ers -4.0 at New York Jets at 5DIMES

The importance of the loss of Darrelle Revis to this New York Jets defense cannot be understated. With Revis in the lineup, the Jets have one of the league’s best cover corners taking the opposition’s best wide receiver out of the game. Without him, Antonio Cromartie (who is much more effective as a second cornerback) is forced to cover the top guy, and perennial underperformer Kyle Wilson is thrust into the starting lineup. With the Jets’ offense struggling under Mark Sanchez, the defense losing its best player is a very big hit.

Sure, the 49ers just lost to Minnesota, but let’s not forget that they were coming off dominating wins over Green Bay and Detroit. Every team has off-games, and Jim Harbaugh isn’t the type of coach to let it become a trend. Look for San Francisco to bounce back with a strong effort this Sunday and to win this one by a touchdown or more.

New England -4.0 at Buffalo at PINNACLE

Some teams just have the number of other teams, and that has been the case for the New England Patriots over the Buffalo Bills for nearly a decade. Since 2002, the Patriots are 18-2 straight up and 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games against the Bills.

The Patriots are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games on the road, and have done very well under Bill Belichick in covering the spread when they are a favorite of less than a touchdown. Buffalo is off to a nice 2-1 start, but its wins came against the Cleveland Browns and Kansas City Chiefs. New England, on the other hand, is 1-2 SU after a bizarre loss to the undefeated Arizona Cardinals and a narrow defeat last week to the Baltimore Ravens.

It is too difficult to see Tom Brady and the Patriots falling to 1-3 on the young season, especially against a team they are so accustomed to dominating. It isn’t often you get the Patriots at only -4.0; no need to over-think it.

Other lines available this week (all at BET365) include Cleveland +12.5 at Baltimore, Carolina +7.0 at Atlanta, Tennessee +12.0 at Houston, San Diego +1.0 at Kansas City, Seattle -3.0 at Seattle, Miami +6.0 at Arizona, Oakland +6.5 at Denver, Cincinnati -3.0 at Jacksonville, New Orleans +8.0 at Green Bay, Washington +3.0 at Tampa Bay, New York Giants +2.0 at Philadelphia, and Chicago +4.0 at Dallas.