The Atlanta Falcons and Houston Texans each improved to 9-1 SU last week and are currently tied for the best record in the NFL. Every game is important for each of these two teams down the stretch as plenty of talented teams are chasing them for those valuable spots at the top of the conference. Both have interesting matchups this week, and here are our picks for those matchups as two of the top plays of Week 12.
Houston -3.0 at Detroit at 5Dimes
Trends must always be taken with a grain of salt as teams change from year to year, but Detroit’s Thanksgiving futility cannot be ignored. The Lions are a pitiful 0-8 SU and ATS in the last eight games that they have hosted on Turkey Day, and hosting one of the league’s best teams isn’t likely to help get that trend turned around.
Houston has been a money-making machine since the beginning of last season. The Texans are 20-8 SU and ATS over their last 28 games dating back to last season including a 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS record this season. The Lions are just 4-12-1 ATS over their last 17 games. This pick looks as delicious as a Thanksgiving turkey.
Tampa Bay +1.0 vs. Atlanta at Pinnacle
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have quietly become one of the NFC’s most reliable teams to bet on. The Bucs are 6-4 SU and 8-2 ATS this season with a current stretch of four straight wins both SU and ATS. Since losing three straight games earlier this season, the Buccaneers are 5-1 SU and ATS and are averaging 34.1 points per game over that run.
Three of the last four games between these two division rivals have been decided by six points or less with Tampa Bay winning by three in its last home game against Atlanta and losing by four in the one before. The Buccaneers are playing with confidence and clicking offensively in a way that they haven’t in years, and it should be enough to close the gap and pick off the Falcons who are 2-3 ATS in their last five games and 0-2 ATS over their last two.
Other lines available this week (all at Bet365) include Washington +3 at Dallas, New England -6.5 at NY Jets, Oakland +8 at Cincinnati, Tennessee -3 at Jacksonville, Seattle -3 at Miami, Denver -10.5 at Kansas City, Buffalo +3 at Indianapolis, Baltimore -1 at San Diego, St. Louis +2.5 at Arizona, and Green Bay +3 at NY Giants.